The Story
"The Olympic was damaged. Insurance paid out less than expected. Switch the ships, sink the damaged one, collect the full insurance. The differences in photos. The last-minute changes."
The 3-Act Journey
Act I: The Pledge
Once you see a pattern, everything fits. Financial motive plus odd details equals conspiracy.
Act II: The Turn
The machinery revealed. The fallacies named. The biases exposed. Now you see the strings.
Act III: The Prestige
The same story, cards face-up. Recovered. Wiser. Understanding why you believed it.
The Machinery
Logical Fallacies
- Texas sharpshooter
- Cherry-picking
- False analogy
- Circular reasoning
Cognitive Biases
- Pattern overfitting
- Hindsight bias
- Survivorship bias
- Confirmation bias
The Motte-and-Bailey
Watch how the claim changes when challenged. The bold claim retreats to defensible ground.
"The Titanic was swapped with the Olympic as an insurance scam."
"There were unusual coincidences and financial incentives."
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